{"id":459950,"date":"2026-04-27T11:11:58","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T14:11:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mrnews.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/04\/27\/boletim-focus-mercado-preve-inflacao-de-486-em-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T11:11:58","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T14:11:58","slug":"boletim-focus-mercado-preve-inflacao-de-486-em-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mrnews.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/04\/27\/boletim-focus-mercado-preve-inflacao-de-486-em-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Boletim Focus: mercado prev\u00ea infla\u00e7\u00e3o de 4,86% em 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Por EBC, <\/p>\n<div>\n<p>O mercado financeiro aumentou, pela s\u00e9tima semana consecutiva, as previs\u00f5es de infla\u00e7\u00e3o para 2026. De acordo com o <strong>Boletim Focus<\/strong>, divulgado nesta segunda-feira (27) pelo Banco Central (BC),\u00a0o ano fechar\u00e1 com o <strong>\u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA)<\/strong>, refer\u00eancia oficial da infla\u00e7\u00e3o no pa\u00eds, <strong>em 4,86%<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Na edi\u00e7\u00e3o anterior do boletim, a previs\u00e3o era de que o IPCA de 2026 ficaria em 4,80%, acima dos 4,31% projetados h\u00e1 quatro semanas.<\/p>\n<p>Para os anos subsequentes, as <strong>proje\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado est\u00e3o em 4% para 2027; e 3,61% para 2028.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Em mar\u00e7o, a alta dos pre\u00e7os em transportes e alimenta\u00e7\u00e3o fez a infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial do m\u00eas fechar em 0,88% \u2013 ante 0,7% em fevereiro. O IPCA acumulado em 12 meses ficou em 4,14%, de acordo com o Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estat\u00edstica (IBGE).<\/p>\n<h2>Taxa Selic<\/h2>\n<p>Para alcan\u00e7ar a meta de infla\u00e7\u00e3o, o Banco Central usa como principal instrumento a <strong>taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a Selic<\/strong>, definida atualmente<strong> <\/strong>em<strong> 14,75% ao ano<\/strong> pelo Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do BC.<\/p>\n<p>Atualmente, o mercado projeta que a Selic fechar\u00e1 o ano em 13% \u2013 mesmo percentual projetado na semana passada, mas 0,5 ponto percentual acima das proje\u00e7\u00f5es feitas h\u00e1 quatro semanas (12,5%).<strong> Para 2027 e 2028, as proje\u00e7\u00f5es s\u00e3o de Selic a 11% e a 10%, respectivamente<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Quando estava em 15% ao ano, a Selic registrava o maior n\u00edvel desde julho de 2006, quando estava fixada em 15,25% ao ano. De setembro de 2024 a junho de 2025, a taxa foi elevada sete vezes seguidas.<\/p>\n<h2>PIB e C\u00e2mbio<\/h2>\n<p>Com rela\u00e7\u00e3o ao <strong>Produto Interno Bruto (PIB)<\/strong>, a soma de todas riquezas produzidas no pa\u00eds) e ao c\u00e2mbio, o mercado reviu para baixo esses \u00edndices, na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a semana anterior.<\/p>\n<p>A expectativa \u00e9 de que a economia do pa\u00eds cres\u00e7a <strong>1,85% em 2026<\/strong>, percentual ligeiramente abaixo do 1,86% projetado na semana passada. Para 2027, o mercado projeta que o PIB feche o ano <strong>em 1,80%<\/strong>. Para 2028, projeta-se uma <strong>infla\u00e7\u00e3o de 2%<\/strong>, segundo o Focus.<\/p>\n<p>O d\u00f3lar fechar\u00e1 2026 contado a <strong>R$ 5,25<\/strong>, caso as proje\u00e7\u00f5es do mercado financeiro se confirmarem. Na semana passada, a cota\u00e7\u00e3o da moeda estadunidense estava em <strong>R$ 5,30<\/strong>; e h\u00e1 quatro semanas estava em <strong>R$ 5,40<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Para <strong>2027 e 2028<\/strong>, as expectativas apontadas pelo boletim \u00e9 de o d\u00f3lar a <strong>R$ 5,35 e R$ 5,40<\/strong>, respectivamente.<\/p>\n<p>      <!-- Relacionada --><\/p>\n<p>            <!-- Relacionada -->\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por EBC, O mercado financeiro aumentou, pela s\u00e9tima semana consecutiva, as previs\u00f5es de infla\u00e7\u00e3o para 2026. De acordo com o Boletim Focus, divulgado nesta segunda-feira (27) pelo Banco Central (BC),\u00a0o ano fechar\u00e1 com o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), refer\u00eancia oficial da infla\u00e7\u00e3o no pa\u00eds, em 4,86%. Na edi\u00e7\u00e3o anterior do boletim, &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2,12225,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-459950","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-entretenimento","category-noticias","category-servicos"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Boletim Focus: mercado prev\u00ea infla\u00e7\u00e3o de 4,86% em 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br\/economia\/noticia\/2026-04\/boletim-focus-mercado-preve-inflacao-de-486-em-2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Boletim Focus: mercado prev\u00ea infla\u00e7\u00e3o de 4,86% em 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Por EBC, O mercado financeiro aumentou, pela s\u00e9tima semana consecutiva, as previs\u00f5es de infla\u00e7\u00e3o para 2026. De acordo com o Boletim Focus, divulgado nesta segunda-feira (27) pelo Banco Central (BC),\u00a0o ano fechar\u00e1 com o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA), refer\u00eancia oficial da infla\u00e7\u00e3o no pa\u00eds, em 4,86%. 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