{"id":468362,"date":"2026-11-02T12:40:11","date_gmt":"2026-11-02T15:40:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mrnews.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/11\/02\/pnuma-emissoes-precisam-cair-18-ate-2030-para-limitar-aquecimento\/"},"modified":"2026-11-02T12:40:11","modified_gmt":"2026-11-02T15:40:11","slug":"pnuma-emissoes-precisam-cair-18-ate-2030-para-limitar-aquecimento","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mrnews.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/11\/02\/pnuma-emissoes-precisam-cair-18-ate-2030-para-limitar-aquecimento\/","title":{"rendered":"Pnuma: emiss\u00f5es precisam cair 18% at\u00e9 2030 para limitar aquecimento"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Por EBC, <\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>Ainda \u00e9 poss\u00edvel limitar o aquecimento global entre 1,7 graus Celsius (\u00b0C) e 1,8\u00b0C e retornar ao limite de 1,5\u00b0C acima dos n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-industriais at\u00e9 2100, se as emiss\u00f5es globais de gases de efeito estufa (GEE) forem reduzidas em 18% at\u00e9 2030; em 45% at\u00e9 2035 e em 69% at\u00e9 2040, na compara\u00e7\u00e3o com os n\u00edveis de 2025.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Na pr\u00e1tica, \u00e9 necess\u00e1rio um esfor\u00e7o global capaz de alcan\u00e7ar uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o m\u00e9dia de 5,7% ao ano, de 2025 at\u00e9 2035.<\/p>\n<p>A proje\u00e7\u00e3o est\u00e1 no novo Relat\u00f3rio sobre a Lacuna de Emiss\u00f5es 2026: O Ponto de Retorno, lan\u00e7ado pelo Programa das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas para o Meio Ambiente (Pnuma).<\/p>\n<p>O documento aponta a necessidade de esfor\u00e7os muito acima dos compromissos assumidos nas novas gera\u00e7\u00f5es de Contribui\u00e7\u00f5es Nacionalmente Determinadas (NDCs), mas <strong>tamb\u00e9m traz evid\u00eancias de que retornar a um limite de aquecimento global de 1,5\u00b0C ou menos \u00e9 poss\u00edvel.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Ultrapassar a meta n\u00e3o significa desistir. Ainda podemos mant\u00ea-la o mais pequena e curta poss\u00edvel \u2013 e trazer as temperaturas de volta para menos de 1,5 graus at\u00e9 o final do s\u00e9culo&#8221;, avalia o secret\u00e1rio-geral das Na\u00e7\u00f5es Unidas, Ant\u00f3nio Guterres.<\/p>\n<p>A necessidade de manter o aquecimento global controlado foi evidenciado no estudo anterior Limitar a Ultrapassagem \u2013 Lidar com a Ultrapassagem de 1,5 \u00b0C e Caminhos para o Retorno, que mostrou os efeitos no planeta do pico de aquecimento e a subsequente queda de temperatura.<\/p>\n<p>Quanto maior a temperatura e mais longa a dura\u00e7\u00e3o, maiores s\u00e3o os impactos como:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>aumento do n\u00edvel do mar,<\/li>\n<li>colapso de ecossistemas como os recifes de coral,<\/li>\n<li>ondas de calor e inc\u00eandios florestais, e<\/li>\n<li>altera\u00e7\u00f5es profundas na criosfera, que inclui calotas polares, gelo marinho, geleiras, solo congelado e neve.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Com a trajet\u00f3ria atual mantida, o\u00a0aquecimento global poder\u00e1 atingir 2,8\u00b0C neste s\u00e9culo. Caso as NDCs sejam plenamente cumpridas e a restaura\u00e7\u00e3o de biomas seja capaz de neutralizar as emiss\u00f5es globais at\u00e9 2050, ainda assim, o aquecimento global chegaria a 2,1\u00b0C neste s\u00e9culo.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Um exemplo do que poder\u00e1 ocorrer como consequ\u00eancia desse aquecimento \u00e9 o derretimento de um quarto das geleiras do planeta, com a eleva\u00e7\u00e3o do n\u00edvel do mar em at\u00e9 12,5 cent\u00edmetros (cm). <\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Na pr\u00e1tica, isso afetaria de forma permanente a disponibilidade de \u00e1gua pot\u00e1vel em v\u00e1rias localidades do mundo.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>Pol\u00edticas que funcionam<\/h2>\n<p>Para cessar essa trajet\u00f3ria, o relat\u00f3rio de emiss\u00f5es traz a an\u00e1lise de mais de 220 avalia\u00e7\u00f5es de pol\u00edticas adotadas pelo mundo e os resultados apontam n\u00fameros positivos, apesar da concentra\u00e7\u00e3o dessas iniciativas em poucos pa\u00edses, setores e por per\u00edodos espec\u00edficos.<\/p>\n<p><strong>De acordo com o estudo, as pol\u00edticas no setor el\u00e9trico foram capazes de reduzir as emiss\u00f5es em uma m\u00e9dia de 9%. J\u00e1 instrumentos econ\u00f4micos, como impostos sobre carbono e com\u00e9rcio de capta\u00e7\u00e3o, foram capazes de diminuir as emiss\u00f5es entre 5% e 13%.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A diretora executiva do Pnuma, Inger Andersen, os casos de sucesso s\u00e3o muitos, variados e demonstram que as emiss\u00f5es podem ser reduzidas rapidamente.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>\u201cAgora cabe \u00e0s na\u00e7\u00f5es implementar urgentemente pol\u00edticas que promovam redu\u00e7\u00f5es de emiss\u00f5es r\u00e1pidas, profundas e sustent\u00e1veis, e que coloquem o mundo no caminho certo para um clima mais est\u00e1vel e para economias e sociedades mais est\u00e1veis\u201d, refor\u00e7a.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>      <!-- Relacionada --><\/p>\n<p>            <!-- Relacionada -->\n    <\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Por EBC, Ainda \u00e9 poss\u00edvel limitar o aquecimento global entre 1,7 graus Celsius (\u00b0C) e 1,8\u00b0C e retornar ao limite de 1,5\u00b0C acima dos n\u00edveis pr\u00e9-industriais at\u00e9 2100, se as emiss\u00f5es globais de gases de efeito estufa (GEE) forem reduzidas em 18% at\u00e9 2030; em 45% at\u00e9 2035 e em 69% at\u00e9 2040, na compara\u00e7\u00e3o &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":39,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-468362","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-servicos"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pnuma: 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